Heuristics and biases in non-profit decision-making processes
Keywords:
biases, heuristics, non-profits, no-profit, no profit, volunteer organizations, evaluative processes, Third sectorAbstract
Purpose – This study explores judgment heuristics and cognitive biases in evaluative, judgmental, and decision-making processes within volunteer-based non-profit organizations. The aim is to assess whether and how the voluntary and non-profit nature of these entities can influence the frequency, intensity, and impact of these cognitive mechanisms.
Design/methodology/approach – The author presents a theoretical-conceptual paper and a viewpoint that considers literature from various socio-economic disciplines.
Findings – The contribution, in addition to reflecting on group decisions and obstacles to optimal choices, suggests that due to the potentially lower focus on direct economic outcomes and the often voluntary nature, in non-profit organizations characterized by less hierarchical relational dynamics, the use of heuristic processes with consequent cognitive biases could be more pronounced, even unconsciously, with potential repercussions on the quality of decisions.
Research limitations/implications – Despite the lack of empirical investigation, the paper offers useful insights for improving awareness and active management of distorting cognitive phenomena in decision-making contexts. The social implications that arise should stimulate further experimental-comparative research with the methodologies described in this article.
Originality/value – The originality lies in the application of heuristic and bias concepts to the non-profit sector, a rarely explored area but of great relevance for the quality of governance and participatory processes, as well as for the effectiveness and fairness of decision-making processes.
Downloads
References
Ambrosini, M., & Boccagni, P. (2020). Sociologia delle migrazioni (3rd ed.). Il Mulino.
Amit, R., & Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1993). Strategic assets and organizational rent. Strategic Management Journal, 14(1).
Anderson, N. H. (1962). Application of an additive model to impression formation. Science, 138(3542), 817–818. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.138.3542.817
Anolli, L., & Legrenzi, P. (2003). Psicologia generale. Il Mulino.
Atkinson, J. W. (1957). Motivational determinants of risk-taking behavior. Psychological Review, 64(6, Pt. 1), 359–372. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0043445
Baumeister, R. F., Bratslavsky, E., Finkenauer, C., & Vohs, K. D. (1992). Bad is stronger than good. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 155, 173–200.
Bazerman, M. H., & Moore, D. A. (2013). Judgment in managerial decision making (8th ed.). Wiley.
Benjafield, J., & Adams-Webber, J. (1976). The golden section hypothesis. British Journal of Psychology, 67(1).
Bessis, D. (2022). Mathematica: Une aventure au coeur de nous-mêmes. Éditions du Seuil.
(Italian ed.: La matematica segreta. Un’avventura alla ricerca di noi stessi. Neri Pozza, 2023).
Borzaga, C., & Fazzi, L. (2011). Processes of institutionalization and differentiation in the Italian third sector. Voluntas: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations, 22(3), 409–427. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11266-010-9159-z
Borzaga, C., & Defourny, J. (Eds.). (2001). The emergence of social enterprise. Routledge.
Boucher, J., & Osgood, C. (1969). The Pollyanna hypothesis. Journal of Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior, 8(1).
Brehmer, B. (1992). Dynamic decision making: Human control of complex systems. Acta Psychologica, 81(3), 211–241. https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-6918(92)90019-A
Busenitz, L. W., & Barney, J. B. (1997). Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making. Journal of Business Venturing, 12(1).
Camerer, C., & Weber, M. (1992). Recent developments in modeling preferences: Uncertainty and ambiguity. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5(4).
Cavalli-Sforza, L. L., & Padoan, D. (2013). Razzismo e noismo. Le declinazioni del noi e l’esclusione dell’altro. Einaudi.
Chapman, L. J., & Chapman, J. P. (1969). Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 74(3).
Compagni, A., & Broccolo, G. (Eds.). (2025). Alle fonti della ricerca. Egea.
Della Sala, S. (2025). Perché dimentichiamo. Una scienza dell’oblio. Feltrinelli.
Epley, N., & Gilovich, T. (2006). The anchoring-and-adjustment heuristic. Psychological Science, 17, 311–318.
Edwards, W. (1954). The theory of decision making. Psychological Bulletin, 51(4), 380–417. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0053870
Finucane, M. L., Alhakami, A., Slovic, P., & Johnson, S. (2000). The affect heuristic in judgments of risks and benefits. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 13, 1–17.
Frazer, J. G. (1925). Il ramo d’oro. Storia del pensiero primitivo: magia e religione (Vols. 1–3). Alberto Stock.
Gawronski, B. (2004). Theory-based bias correction in dispositional inference: The fundamental attribution error is dead, long live the correspondence bias. European Review of Social Psychology, 15(1), 183–217.
Gigerenzer, G. (1991). From tools to theory: A heuristic of discovery in cognitive psychology. Psychological Review, 98.
Gigerenzer, G., & Gaissmaier, W. (2011). Heuristic decision making. Annual Review of Psychology, 62, 451–482. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-psych-120709-145346
Gigerenzer, G., & Goldstein, D. G. (2002). Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. Psychological Review, 109(1).
Goldstein, D. G., & Gigerenzer, G. (1999). The recognition heuristic: How ignorance makes us smart. In G. Gigerenzer, P. M. Todd, & the ABC Research Group (Eds.), Simple heuristics that make us smart (pp. 37–58). Oxford University Press.
Girotto, V. (2004). Pensiero, ragionamento e decisione. In Ragionare su probabilità, possibilità e frequenze. http://www.pensierocritico.eu/files/Ragionare-su-probabilita-possibilita-e-frequenze--Vittorio-Girotto-.pdf
Gori, C., Ghetti, V., Rusmini, G., & Tidoli, R. (2014). Il welfare sociale in Italia. Realtà e prospettive. Carocci.
Grafa, L., König, A., Enders, A., & Hungenberg, H. (2012). Debiasing competitive irrationality: How managers can be prevented from trading off absolute for relative profit. European Management Journal, 30(4).
Heider, F. (1958). The psychology of interpersonal relations. Wiley.
Istat. (2024). Istituzioni non profit – Anno 2022. https://www.istat.it/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/REPORT_Istituzioni-non-profit_2022.pdf
Janis, I. L. (1972). Victims of groupthink. Houghton Mifflin.
Johnson-Laird, P. N. (1988). Mental models: Towards a cognitive science of language, inference, and consciousness. Cambridge University Press.
Jones, E. E., & Harris, V. A. (1967). The attribution of attitude. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 3.
Jones, E. E., & Nisbett, R. E. (1972). The actor and observer: Divergent perceptions of the causes of behavior. General Learning Press.
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux.
(Italian ed.: Pensieri lenti e veloci. Mondadori, 2012).
Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (Eds.). (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511809477
Kausel, E. E., Culbertson, S. S., & Madrid, H. P. (2016). Overconfidence in personnel selection: When and why unstructured interview information can hurt hiring decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 137, 27–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.obhdp.2016.07.005
Kelly, H. H. (1967). Attribution theory in social psychology. In Nebraska symposium on motivation. University of Nebraska Press.
Keeney, R. L., & Raiffa, H. (1976). Decisions with multiple objectives: Preferences and value tradeoffs. Wiley.
Legrenzi, P. (2022). Quando meno diventa più. La storia culturale e le buone pratiche della sottrazione. Raffaello Cortina.
Legrenzi, P., & Massarenti, A. (2016). L’economia nella mente. Come evitare le trappole che fanno perdere soldi. Raffaello Cortina.
Loomes, G., & Sugden, R. (1982). Regret theory: An alternative to rational choice under uncertainty. Economic Journal, 92, 805–824.
Lopes, L. L. (1982). Doing the impossible: A note on induction and the experience of randomness. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 8(6).
Matlin, M. W., & Stang, D. J. (1978). The Pollyanna principle: Selectivity in language, memory, and thought. Schenkman.
McGuire, J. T., & Botvinick, M. M. (2010). Prefrontal cortex, cognitive control, and the registration of decision costs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 7922–7926.
Michienzi, A. (2025). Il puzzle virtuoso del finanziamento alla ricerca oncologica. Airc Fondamentale, 5, 10–14.
Miller, J. L. (2002). The board as a monitor of organizational activity: The applicability of agency theory to nonprofit boards. Nonprofit Management and Leadership, 12(4).
Neri, M. (2000). Cognizione e negoziazione. In Simulazioni di negoziazioni delle relazioni di lavoro. ISFOL.
Nisbett, R., Krantz, D. H., Jepson, C., & Fong, G. T. (1982). Improving inductive inference. Cambridge University Press.
Nisbett, R., & Ross, L. (1980). Human inference: Strategies and shortcomings of social judgment. Prentice Hall.
Oppenheimer, D. M. (2003). Not so fast! (and not so frugal!): Rethinking the recognition heuristic. Cognition, 90, B1–B9.
Polmonari, A., Cavazza, N., & Rubini, M. (2004). Psicologia sociale. Il Mulino.
Rode, C., Cosmides, L., Hell, W., & Tooby, J. (1999). When and why do people avoid unknown probabilities in decisions under uncertainty? Cognition, 72(3).
Rothbart, M., et al. (1978). From individual to group impressions: Availability heuristics in stereotype formation. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 14.
Samuelson, W., & Zeckhauser, R. J. (1988). Status quo bias in decision making. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1, 7–59.
Sandberg, B., et al. (2025). Addressing the promise and peril of AI for nonprofit management. Journal of Nonprofit & Public Sector Marketing. https://doi.org/10.1080/15236803.2025.2475589
Schwenk, C. R. (1990). Conflict in organizational decision making: An exploratory study of its effects in for-profit and not-for-profit organizations. Management Science, 36(4). https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.36.4.436
Shweder, R. A. (1977). Illusory correlation and the MMPI controversy. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 45(5).
Simon, H. A. (1955). A behavioral model of rational choice. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69(1), 99–118. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884852
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B., & Lichtenstein, S. (1976). Cognitive processes and societal risk taking. In Cognition and social behavior. Erlbaum.
Snow, R. M., & Phillips, P. H. (2007). Making critical decisions: A practical guide for nonprofit organizations. John Wiley & Sons.
Tedeschi, M. (2001). Il processo decisionale del consumatore: Effetti del contesto e implicazioni di marketing. FrancoAngeli.
Thaler, R. (1980). Toward a positive theory of consumer choice. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 1(1), 39–60.
Thaler, R. H., & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. Yale University Press.
Todd, P. M., & Gigerenzer, G. (2002). Précis of simple heuristics that make us smart. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 23.
Tosi, H. L., Pilati, M., Mero, N. P., & Rizzo, J. R. (2003). Comportamento organizzativo: Persone, gruppo e organizzazione. Egea.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124–1131. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1981). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211(4481), 453–458. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.7455683
Van Slyke, D. M. (2007). Agents or stewards: Using theory to understand the government–nonprofit social service contracting relationship. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 17(2).
Von Neumann, J., & Morgenstern, O. (1947). Theory of games and economic behavior. Princeton University Press.
Loschermo.it. (2014, April 17). http://www.loschermo.it/articoli/view/32445
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 European journal of volunteering and community-based projects

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.